Journal of Precision Biosciences
Computational Intelligence and patient-derived models for predicting treatment response and toxicity in Rare Disease Management: A Review of Emerging Diagnostic and Predictive Paradigms
Hares Bin Syed Md. Rifat 1*
Journal of Precision Biosciences 8 (1) 1-8 https://doi.org/10.25163/biosciences.8110585
Submitted: 18 August 2026 Revised: 10 October 2026 Accepted: 17 October 2026 Published: 19 October 2026
Abstract
Rare diseases and rare cancers are individually uncommon yet collectively burdensome, and the data needed to model them are scarce. Computational intelligence, from random forests to graph neural networks, is often proposed as a remedy, but its evidence has accumulated mostly in oncology and chemical toxicology, where datasets and biological test systems are more mature. We asked how well machine-learning and deep-learning models, alongside patient-derived organoids (PDO) and xenografts (PDX), predict diagnosis, treatment response and toxicity, and what this might teach rare-disease medicine. We searched PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science and Embase, screened 501 de-duplicated records, and included 22 studies (2,814 patients) in a structured synthesis with exploratory random-effects pooling. Two reviewers screened independently, and bias was appraised with QUADAS-2 and the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale. Pooled sensitivity was 0.88 (95% CI 0.85–0.91), specificity 0.86 (0.83–0.89) and the area under the curve 0.92; risk stratification yielded a hazard ratio of 2.18 (1.76–2.70). Heterogeneity was moderate (I² = 57%), and small-study asymmetry was detected (Egger p < 0.05). In Tox21 benchmarks, graph-based models averaged an AUC of 0.90–0.91, whereas DeepTox (0.85) did no better than simpler random-forest and naive-Bayes models. PDO and PDX concordance with clinical response varied by tumour type, and several reported values repeated across tumours, so we interpret them cautiously. Most studies lacked external validation, and few addressed non-oncological rare diseases. The approach is promising but not yet proven reliable; progress will depend on external validation, common reporting standards and rare-disease-specific datasets.
Keywords: artificial intelligence; machine learning; graph neural networks; patient-derived organoids; patient-derived xenografts; toxicity prediction; rare diseases
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