1. Introduction
Drug discovery, despite decades of innovation, seems to have reached a rather uneasy plateau. There is, perhaps, a growing recognition that traditional approaches—often centered on phenotypic screening without fully resolving mechanistic underpinnings—are no longer sufficient to sustain the pace of therapeutic advancement (Zhao & Iyengar, 2012). What once appeared efficient now feels incomplete, even limiting. The complexity of biological systems, long acknowledged but perhaps underappreciated in practice, continues to challenge reductionist paradigms. Cells, tissues, and organisms do not behave as linear systems; instead, they maintain functional stability through deeply interconnected, nonlinear networks spanning multiple spatial and temporal scales (Hwang et al., 2013).
This complexity has historically rendered drug action somewhat opaque. Many pharmacological effects—especially adverse ones—emerge not from a single target interaction but from a cascade of unintended perturbations across biological networks. In this sense, drug mechanisms have often resembled a “black box,” where outcomes are observed but not fully explained (Hwang et al., 2013). Such opacity becomes particularly problematic when off-target interactions lead to toxicity, often only detectable in late-stage clinical trials. Unsurprisingly, this contributes to the persistent “translational dilemma,” wherein promising in vitro findings fail to translate into clinical success (Clancy et al., 2016).
In response to these challenges, systems pharmacology has gradually emerged—not as a replacement, but as a necessary evolution. It attempts to integrate computational modeling with experimental data to construct a more holistic understanding of drug action (Zhao & Iyengar, 2012). Yet even within this framework, a further shift is underway. There is increasing emphasis on multiscale modeling, an approach that explicitly connects molecular-level events to higher-order physiological outcomes. Drug action, after all, is inherently multiscale: a binding event at the atomic level can propagate through signaling pathways, alter cellular states, and ultimately influence organ-level function (Amaro & Mulholland, 2018).
This perspective has led to the development of multiscale biophysical models that attempt to capture both structural and functional dimensions of biological systems. These models are not merely descriptive; they aim to be predictive. By incorporating spatial organization, biochemical kinetics, and physiological context, they offer the possibility—still aspirational, but increasingly tangible—of simulating drug behavior with high fidelity (Barros et al., 2023). Such simulations hold particular promise in addressing the translational gap, as they allow researchers to test hypotheses across scales before committing to costly experimental validation (Clancy et al., 2016).
At the core of multiscale modeling lies a fundamental organizational challenge: how to coherently integrate processes that operate at vastly different resolutions. Molecular interactions occur on the scale of nanoseconds and angstroms, while physiological responses unfold over hours, days, or even longer. Bridging these scales requires not only computational sophistication but also conceptual clarity. Typically, this is achieved through hierarchical frameworks that link distinct biological domains via mathematical formalisms (Walpole et al., 2013).
At the molecular level, techniques such as molecular mechanics (MM) and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations provide detailed insights into drug–target interactions. These approaches function, in a sense, as a “computational microscope,” revealing binding affinities, conformational changes, and free energy landscapes that are otherwise inaccessible (Amaro & Mulholland, 2018). While powerful, these models operate in isolation unless their outputs are systematically integrated into higher-level representations.
Moving upward in scale, intracellular processes are often modeled using systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs), which describe the kinetics of biochemical reactions and signaling pathways. Pathways such as MAPK and NF-κB, for instance, can be represented as dynamic networks where perturbations—such as drug exposure—propagate through cascades of molecular interactions (Walpole et al., 2013; Zhao & Iyengar, 2012). These models allow researchers to explore how variations in drug concentration, dosing schedules, or cellular context influence downstream signaling outcomes.
Yet, even this level of modeling captures only part of the picture. Biological function emerges not just from intracellular dynamics but from interactions between cells and their microenvironment. To address this, agent-based models (ABMs) and cellular Potts models are frequently employed. In these frameworks, individual cells are treated as autonomous agents, each with its own internal state and behavioral rules (Oduola & Li, 2018; Walpole et al., 2013). This approach allows for the simulation of complex phenomena such as tumor growth, immune responses, and tissue remodeling, where spatial heterogeneity and cell–cell interactions play critical roles (Su et al., 2014; Clancy et al., 2016).
At the highest level of organization, physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models provide a systemic view of drug distribution and metabolism. These models represent the body as a network of compartments corresponding to organs and tissues, each characterized by specific physiological parameters (Eissing et al., 2011). By integrating data from lower-scale models, PBPK frameworks enable the tracking of drug absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion in a manner that is both mechanistic and predictive (Thiel et al., 2017). When coupled with pharmacodynamic (PD) models, they offer a powerful tool for linking drug exposure to biological response.
However, the true value of multiscale modeling lies not merely in its construction but in its validation and application. Predictive accuracy must be rigorously assessed through iterative cycles of simulation and experimentation—the so-called “predict–learn–confirm” paradigm (Eissing et al., 2011; Goldring et al., 2024). In some cases, multiscale models have demonstrated remarkable predictive capabilities. For example, simulations of cardiac electrophysiology have successfully identified drug-induced arrhythmias that were not apparent at the cellular level but emerged in tissue-scale models (Costabal et al., 2018; Walpole et al., 2013).
Beyond prediction, these models also open the door to personalization. By incorporating patient-specific data—such as genetic polymorphisms, enzyme expression levels, or physiological parameters—multiscale frameworks can simulate individual responses to therapy (Clancy et al., 2016). This is particularly relevant in pharmacogenomics, where variations in enzymes like CYP2D6 can significantly alter drug metabolism and efficacy (Eissing et al., 2011). Virtual clinical trials, though still evolving, represent a compelling application of this concept.
Similarly, in the context of drug safety, multiscale models have been used to predict complex toxicological outcomes. Frameworks such as DILIsym integrate subcellular mechanisms, including oxidative stress and mitochondrial dysfunction, with systemic biomarkers to forecast drug-induced liver injury (Bhattacharya et al., 2012; Bai et al., 2014). These approaches provide actionable insights that can inform dosing strategies, identify at-risk populations, and potentially prevent adverse events before they occur.
Still, challenges remain. Multiscale models are inherently complex, often requiring extensive computational resources and high-quality data for parameterization. There is also the question—perhaps unavoidable—of how much complexity is necessary. Striking a balance between biological realism and computational tractability continues to be an area of active discussion. Nevertheless, the trajectory is clear. As data integration improves and computational methods advance, multiscale modeling is poised to play an increasingly central role in drug development.
In many ways, this shift reflects a broader transition in biomedical science—from isolated observations toward integrated understanding. It is not merely about adding more data, but about connecting it meaningfully across scales. And while the path forward is not without uncertainty, the potential benefits—more effective therapies, reduced attrition rates, and truly personalized medicine—suggest that this is a direction worth pursuing.